The UK government's help to buy scheme aims to kick start the housing market by providing taxpayer-funded assistance to home-buyers. Individuals who can only afford to put down a 5% deposit on a house can receive a loan from the government for 20% of the property's value. From the start of 2014, the government will offer a taxpayer-funded guarantee to mortgage lenders who offer mortgages worth up to 95% of a property's value. The scheme has already come in for criticism and may have been behind recent rises in the property market (click here). Many economists fear that the scheme will simply result in another credit-fueled housing bubble, which will further weaken the financial system.
Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Amir Kermani, James Kwak and Todd Mitton have written a paper on whether firms connected to Timothy Geithner benefited from these connections. They do so by looking at how stocks of these firms reacted to the announcement that he was a nominee for Treasury Secretary in November 2008. They find that there were large abnormal returns for connected firms. Below is the paper's abstract and the full paper is available here . The announcement of Timothy Geithner as nominee for Treasury Secretary in November 2008 produced a cumulative abnormal return for financial firms with which he had a connection. This return was about 6% after the first full day of trading and about 12% after ten trading days. There were subsequently abnormal negative returns for connected firms when news broke that Geithner's confirmation might be derailed by tax issues. Excess returns for connected firms may reflect the perceived impact of relying on the advice of a small ne...